Navy Fellas Realty Group

Real Estate, Residential sales and purchase

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 29th, 2024

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It was an uneventful week for the data reports, as the majority of the interest waits for the Federal Reserve’s rate decision heading into the following week. One of the most notable reports is for New Home Sales, which had managed to greatly exceed the projections for the end of the year moving into January. It is an early sign that there is a surge in response to the week-to-week rate cuts we have been observing over the last two weeks.

The second largest data reports come from the PCE Index and preliminary projections for the Q1 GDP statistics. It is expected that the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the current rate will hold true, but there is some optimism that a small rate cut may be a possibility.

Pending Home Sales

U.S. pending home sales shot up in December as falling mortgage rates brought buyers back into the market.

Pending home sales rose 8.3% in December from the previous month, according to the monthly index released Friday by the National Association of REALTORS®.

GDP (Prelim)

The U.S. grew at a robust 3.3% annual pace in the fourth quarter, showcasing the economy’s remarkable vigor despite high interest rates and still-elevated inflation. The Forecast of Growth was projected to be 2.0%.

Although growth slowed from the third-quarter’s surprising 4.9% clip, the back-to-back readings were the strongest since 2014, if the sharp recovery after the pandemic is set aside.

PCE Index

The rate of U.S. inflation — based on the Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE gauge — rose a mild 0.2% in December and pointed to smaller price increases in 2024.

Inflation picked up a bit at year end after declining in November, but there’s little evidence of emerging trouble. The increase in prices in the 12 months ended in December was unchanged at 2.6%.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates are seeing an increase by 0.20%, with the current rate at 5.96%
• 30-Yr FRM rates are seeing an increase by 0.09%, with the current rate at 6.69%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates are seeing a 0.05% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.20%
• 30-Yr VA  rates are seeing a 0.08% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.25%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 214,000 compared to the expected claims of 200,000. The prior week landed at 189,000.

What’s Ahead

All sights are set for the Federal Reserve’s rate decision coming next week. There are other notable reports alongside the rate decision including Non-farm Payroll statistics, Consumer Reports (Univ. Michigan), PMI numbers, and Shiller Price Home Index statistics, first reports of the year.

Mortgage Rate Locks When and How to Secure a Favorable Rate

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Rate locks play a crucial role in the mortgage application process, helping borrowers secure a favorable interest rate for their home loans. Here’s an explanation of the importance of rate locks and when and how to secure the best rate:

Interest Rate Protection: Mortgage rates are subject to market fluctuations and can change daily or even multiple times a day. Rate locks protect borrowers from potential rate increases during the loan processing period.

Budgeting and Planning: Knowing the exact interest rate allows borrowers to budget more effectively and plan their finances with certainty. It prevents unexpected increases in monthly payments, helping borrowers manage their expenses.

Peace of Mind: Homebuyers can experience peace of mind when they know their interest rate is secured. This allows them to focus on other aspects of the home-buying process without worrying about market volatility affecting their mortgage terms.

Financial Stability: Rate locks provide financial stability, especially for those on a tight budget. Unpredictable rate changes can significantly impact the affordability of a mortgage, and a rate lock mitigates this risk.

When to Secure a Rate Lock:

Timing Matters: Rate locks are typically available for a specific period, such as 30, 45, or 60 days. It’s crucial to lock in a rate at the right time, considering the expected duration of the loan approval process.

Market Conditions: Monitor market conditions to identify favorable times for rate locks. If interest rates are low or expected to rise, it might be advantageous to secure a rate lock sooner rather than later.

Loan Approval Status: It’s generally recommended to wait until your mortgage application is complete and the loan is in the underwriting process before locking the rate. This ensures that the lock period aligns with the expected timeline for loan approval.

How to Secure the Best Rate Lock:

Shop Around: Obtain quotes from multiple lenders to compare interest rates and terms. This provides a basis for negotiating and helps you identify the best possible rate.

Understand Lock Terms:

Be aware of the lock period and any associated fees or conditions. Longer lock periods may come with higher fees, so it’s essential to strike a balance that suits your needs.

Consider Float-Down Options: Some lenders offer float-down options, allowing borrowers to secure a lower rate if market conditions improve before closing. Understand the terms and conditions of this option.

Consult with a Mortgage Professional: Work closely with your mortgage broker or loan officer. They can provide guidance on the optimal time to lock in your rate based on market trends and your specific financial situation.

In the end, rate locks provide stability and predictability in a volatile market, enabling homebuyers to secure favorable mortgage terms. Timing, market awareness, and careful consideration of lock terms are essential to ensuring you get the best rate for your mortgage.

How to Evaluate Property Taxes and What You Need to Know Before You Buy

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Retirement is a significant milestone in one’s life, symbolizing the culmination of years of hard work and dedication. As individuals approach this stage, meticulous planning becomes imperative to ensure a comfortable and financially secure future. Among the plethora of retirement planning options, real estate emerges as a challenging player, offering unique advantages that can enhance the overall strategy. Let’s discuss the pivotal role that real estate plays in retirement planning and why it deserves a prominent place in your financial portfolio.

Building Equity for the Future:

One of the fundamental advantages of investing in real estate is the potential for equity growth over time. Unlike other assets that may fluctuate in value, real estate often appreciates in the long run. By acquiring property early in your career and allowing it to accumulate value, you’re essentially building a robust foundation of equity that can serve as a valuable financial resource during retirement.

Steady Income Stream through Rental Properties:

Real estate’s ability to generate a steady income stream is a crucial factor in retirement planning. Owning rental properties allows retirees to enjoy a regular source of passive income, supplementing other retirement income streams such as pensions or social security. Well-managed rental properties can provide a reliable and predictable cash flow, ensuring financial stability throughout retirement.

Diversification for Risk Mitigation:

Diversification is a key principle in any successful investment strategy, and real estate offers an excellent avenue for achieving it. By diversifying your retirement portfolio to include real estate assets, you can spread risk and reduce vulnerability to market fluctuations. Real estate’s performance often exhibits low correlation with traditional financial markets, providing a hedge against economic downturns and uncertainties.

Hedging Against Inflation:

Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money over time, posing a significant threat to retirees. Real estate, however, has historically proven to be an effective hedge against inflation. Property values and rental income tend to rise with inflation, ensuring that the real value of your real estate assets remains relatively stable over the long term.

Downsizing and Lifestyle Adjustments:

Real estate plays a dynamic role in retirement planning by offering options for downsizing or making lifestyle adjustments. Retirees can leverage the equity built in their properties by selling and downsizing to a smaller, more manageable home. This not only releases funds for retirement expenses but also reduces maintenance costs and property taxes.

As individuals navigate the intricate landscape of retirement planning, embracing the role of real estate can significantly enhance their financial well-being. From building equity and generating passive income to providing a buffer against inflation, real estate stands as a versatile and resilient asset class. Including real estate in your retirement portfolio offers not only financial benefits but also the peace of mind that comes with a diversified and well-rounded approach to securing your future.

How Do Mortgage Lenders Decide How Much You Can Borrow?

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When you visit your lender to get a mortgage for your home, they will tell you the maximum amount that you are allowed to borrow. But how do they reach this total and what factors do they take into consideration?

How do they determine that one borrower can take on a bigger mortgage than the next? This decision is made by mortgage companies by considering a wide range of factors, including your credit information, your salary, and much more.

Here Are Some Of The Common Ways That Lenders Determine How Much You Can Borrow:

1. Percentage Of Gross Monthly Income

Many lenders follow the rule that your monthly mortgage payment should never exceed 28% of your gross monthly income.

This will ensure that you are not stretched too far with your mortgage payments and you will be more likely to be able to pay them off. Remember, your gross monthly income is the total amount of money that you have been paid, before deductions from social security, taxes, savings plans, child support, etc.

2. Debt To Income Ratio

Another formula that mortgage lenders use is the “Debt to Income” ratio, which refers to the percentage of your gross monthly income that is taken up by debts. This takes into account any other debts, such as credit cards and loans. Many lenders say that the total of your debts shouldn’t exceed 36% of your gross monthly income.

The lender will look at all of the different types of debt you have and how well you have paid your bills over the years. By using one of these two formulas, your mortgage lender calculates the size of a mortgage that you can afford.

Of course, many other factors need to be considered, such as the term length of the loan, the size of your down payment, and the interest rate.

Remember that when factoring in your income, you usually have to have a stable job for at least two years in a row to be able to count your income. If you want to increase your chances, you could consider paying down your debts or buying with a co-borrower, which will improve your debt-to-income ratio.

For more info about mortgages and your home, contact your mortgage professional.

The Crucial Role of Real Estate in Retirement Planning

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Retirement is a significant milestone in one’s life, symbolizing the culmination of years of hard work and dedication. As individuals approach this stage, meticulous planning becomes imperative to ensure a comfortable and financially secure future. Among the plethora of retirement planning options, real estate emerges as a challenging player, offering unique advantages that can enhance the overall strategy. Let’s discuss the pivotal role that real estate plays in retirement planning and why it deserves a prominent place in your financial portfolio.

Building Equity for the Future:

One of the fundamental advantages of investing in real estate is the potential for equity growth over time. Unlike other assets that may fluctuate in value, real estate often appreciates in the long run. By acquiring property early in your career and allowing it to accumulate value, you’re essentially building a robust foundation of equity that can serve as a valuable financial resource during retirement.

Steady Income Stream through Rental Properties:

Real estate’s ability to generate a steady income stream is a crucial factor in retirement planning. Owning rental properties allows retirees to enjoy a regular source of passive income, supplementing other retirement income streams such as pensions or social security. Well-managed rental properties can provide a reliable and predictable cash flow, ensuring financial stability throughout retirement.

Diversification for Risk Mitigation:

Diversification is a key principle in any successful investment strategy, and real estate offers an excellent avenue for achieving it. By diversifying your retirement portfolio to include real estate assets, you can spread risk and reduce vulnerability to market fluctuations. Real estate’s performance often exhibits low correlation with traditional financial markets, providing a hedge against economic downturns and uncertainties.

Hedging Against Inflation:

Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money over time, posing a significant threat to retirees. Real estate, however, has historically proven to be an effective hedge against inflation. Property values and rental income tend to rise with inflation, ensuring that the real value of your real estate assets remains relatively stable over the long term.

Downsizing and Lifestyle Adjustments:

Real estate plays a dynamic role in retirement planning by offering options for downsizing or making lifestyle adjustments. Retirees can leverage the equity built in their properties by selling and downsizing to a smaller, more manageable home. This not only releases funds for retirement expenses but also reduces maintenance costs and property taxes.

As individuals navigate the intricate landscape of retirement planning, embracing the role of real estate can significantly enhance their financial well-being. From building equity and generating passive income to providing a buffer against inflation, real estate stands as a versatile and resilient asset class. Including real estate in your retirement portfolio offers not only financial benefits but also the peace of mind that comes with a diversified and well-rounded approach to securing your future.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 22nd, 2024

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The following week of CPI and PPI reports are typically lighter, with this week showing the same trend. There are a number of interesting interim reports that are worth noting however, including the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book which indicates the labor market has been cooling across most of the country. Following up is the Consumer Sentiment Reports, which is an excellent indicator for how the average consumer feels about their buying power, reflecting on the current economic conditions. Slower inflation, cheaper gas and a healthy economy have boosted optimism. Lastly, retail sales reports showing activity in December.

Consumer Sentiment Report

The numbers: Consumer sentiment jumped in January to the highest level since the summer of 2021, reflecting fresh optimism about the economy as inflation slows and incomes rise.
The preliminary reading of the sentiment survey shot up to 78.8 from 69.7 in December, the University of Michigan said Friday. Two straight strong increases pushed the index to its highest level since July 2021.

Retail Sales

The numbers: Sales at retailers jumped 0.6% in December to cap off a fairly robust holiday-shopping season and underscore the resilience of a still-growing U.S. economy.
Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.4% increase.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease by -0.11% with the current rate at 5.76% 
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease by -0.06% with the current rate at 6.60%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates seeing a 0.15% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.15% 
• 30-Yr VA rates seeing a 0.16% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.17%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims declined to 187,000 compared to the expected claims of 208,000. The prior week’s count was 203,000.

What’s Ahead

Next week boasts a number of larger employment rates which come at a quarterly pace. There is also the very large Fed Rate Decision for the first quarter which strongly determines how most lending partners and markets as a whole will view things going forward. There is a lot of optimism for rate cuts this year.

The Ultimate Home Inspection Checklist for Informed Decisions

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Embarking on the journey to homeownership is an exciting venture, but it comes with its share of responsibilities. One crucial step in the process is a comprehensive home inspection. To ensure your dream home doesn’t turn into a nightmare, we’ve compiled the ultimate home inspection checklist. Armed with this guide, you’ll be equipped to make informed decisions, identify potential issues, and negotiate confidently before sealing the deal.

Exterior Inspection:

  • Roof condition and age
  • Gutters and downspouts
  • Siding and paint
  • Windows and doors
  • Foundation and grading

Structural Elements:

  • Foundation integrity
  • Walls, ceilings, and floors
  • Attic and crawl spaces
  • Load-bearing walls

Plumbing System:

  • Water pressure
  • Visible leaks
  • Condition of pipes (visible and accessible)
  • Functionality of faucets, sinks, toilets, and showers

Electrical System:

  • Panel condition and capacity
  • Presence of GFCI outlets
  • Functionality of switches and outlets
  • Wiring and visible connections

Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC):

  • Furnace and air conditioning units
  • Ductwork condition
  • Filter replacement history
  • Thermostat functionality

Interior Features:

  • Appliance condition and age
  • Flooring condition
  • Walls and ceilings (look for signs of water damage)
  • Functionality of doors and windows

Insulation and Energy Efficiency:

  • Presence and condition of insulation
  • Energy-efficient features (double-pane windows, etc.)
  • Overall energy efficiency of the home

Pest and Mold Inspection:

  • Signs of termites or other pests
  • Presence of mold or mildew
  • Condition of wood structures and beams

Environmental Factors:

  • Radon testing (if applicable in your region)
  • Asbestos inspection (for older homes)
  • Lead-based paint assessment (for homes built before 1978)

Miscellaneous Checks:

  • Garage condition
  • Functionality of garage doors and openers
  • Drainage around the property
  • Overall safety features (smoke detectors, handrails, etc.)

Navigating the home inspection process armed with this comprehensive checklist empowers you to assess your potential home thoroughly. Remember, a well-informed buyer is a confident buyer. Use the insights gained from the inspection to negotiate repairs or adjustments to the sale price. By investing time in a thorough home inspection, you’re not just buying a house; you’re investing in a home where you can build a future.

The Advantages And Disadvantages Of Using Online Mortgage Lenders

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Using online mortgage lenders can offer several advantages and disadvantages compared to traditional brick-and-mortar lenders. It’s important to weigh these factors based on your individual preferences, needs, and financial situation. Here’s a breakdown of the pros and cons:

Advantages of Online Mortgage Lenders:

Convenience:

Pros: Online lenders offer the convenience of applying for a mortgage from the comfort of your home at any time. The entire process, from approval application, can be done online, reducing the need for in-person visits.

Faster Approval Process:

Pros: Online lenders often have streamlined processes, leveraging technology to speed up the approval process. This can result in quicker loan approvals and faster closings compared to traditional lenders.

Competitive Interest Rates:

Pros: Online lenders may have lower operating costs, allowing them to offer competitive interest rates. Borrowers can potentially save money over the life of the loan by securing a lower rate.

Wide Range of Loan Options:

Pros: Online lenders often offer a variety of loan products and terms, allowing borrowers to choose the option that best suits their financial situation and goals.

Accessible Information:

Pros: Online lenders typically provide a wealth of information on their websites, making it easy for borrowers to compare rates, terms, and fees. This transparency can empower borrowers to make informed decisions.

Disadvantages of Online Mortgage Lenders:

Limited Personal Interaction:

Cons: Some borrowers may prefer face-to-face interactions with a loan officer or advisor, especially when dealing with a significant financial decision like a mortgage. Online lenders may lack the personal touch of in-person service.

Potential for Miscommunication:

Cons: Online communication may lead to misunderstandings, especially if there is a lack of clarity in the application process. Miscommunication can potentially delay the loan approval or closing process.

Less Flexibility for Special Cases:

Cons: Online lenders may have strict criteria, and their automated processes might not accommodate special cases or unique financial situations as well as a human underwriter might. Borrowers with complex financial profiles may face challenges.

Security Concerns:

Cons: Some borrowers may have concerns about the security of their personal and financial information when dealing with online transactions. It’s crucial to choose reputable online lenders with strong security measures in place.

Limited Local Market Knowledge:

Cons: Online lenders may not have the same level of local market knowledge as traditional lenders. This can be a disadvantage if local market conditions significantly impact the mortgage process.

In summary, the decision to use an online mortgage lender versus a traditional lender depends on individual preferences and priorities. Borrowers should carefully evaluate the pros and cons of each option, considering factors such as convenience, communication preferences, and the complexity of their financial situation.

Additionally, researching and choosing a reputable online lender with a track record of customer satisfaction is crucial to a positive borrowing experience.

Navigating the Impact of Environmental Factors on Property Values

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As our world becomes increasingly conscious of sustainability, it’s crucial to understand how the environment can shape the value of your home or potential investment. Let’s explore the various ways in which environmental factors play a significant role in the real estate market.

Location, Location, Eco-location:

The old adage “location, location, location” takes on a new dimension when considering environmental factors. Proximity to parks, nature reserves, and green spaces can significantly enhance property values. Homebuyers are increasingly seeking homes in areas with a strong connection to nature, promoting a healthier and more sustainable lifestyle.

Climate Change and Extreme Weather:

With the escalating impact of climate change, the vulnerability of properties to extreme weather events is a growing concern. Homes located in areas prone to flooding, hurricanes, or wildfires may experience a decline in value as the frequency and intensity of these events increase. Buyers and sellers alike need to factor in the potential risks associated with climate-related hazards.

Energy Efficiency and Sustainability:

Green homes are on the rise, and so is the demand for energy-efficient properties. Homes equipped with solar panels, energy-efficient appliances, and sustainable construction materials not only contribute to a healthier planet but also command higher property values. Buyers recognize the long-term cost savings associated with eco-friendly features, making these properties more appealing.

Air and Water Quality:

Clean air and water are fundamental to a healthy living environment. Areas with high air pollution or water contamination issues may experience a decline in property values. Conversely, regions known for their immaculate air and water quality become sought-after locations, reflecting positively on home values.

Environmental Regulations and Zoning:

Government policies and regulations aimed at preserving natural habitats and controlling development can have a significant impact on property values. Zoning laws that restrict certain types of construction or protect green spaces contribute to a more attractive living environment, positively affecting nearby property values.

Transportation and Commuting:

Access to efficient public transportation or proximity to job centers can influence property values. As the world shifts towards sustainable transportation options, homes located near public transit or in walkable neighborhoods may experience increased demand and higher values.

In the ever-evolving landscape of real estate, understanding the interplay between environmental factors and property values is crucial. Whether you’re a prospective homebuyer, seller, or investor, recognizing the impact of eco-friendly features, climate considerations, and regulatory environments can empower you to make informed decisions. As we move towards a greener future, the connection between the environment and real estate values will undoubtedly continue to shape the way we live and invest.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – January 16th, 2024

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With the release of the CPI and PPI we received a clearer picture of what’s ahead. With the inflation numbers for CPI (Consumer Price Index) arriving a bit warmer than expected, there was some speculation that it could cause some hesitation from the Federal Reserve on reducing rates for this year.

We also were able to see the Year-over-Year CPI inflation rates with those as well coming in at slightly higher than expected. The projected outlook for the first quarter is likely that the Federal Reserve will hold its position and continue with maintaining interest rates as they have.

Although lending rates have drastically come down, much of it will depend on where the Federal Reserve moves this quarter or the next.

Consumer Price Index

Consumer prices rose somewhat faster at the end of 2023 and interrupted a slowdown in inflation, but the recent evidence still points to a further deceleration in the months ahead. The consumer price index rose 0.3% in December to mark the biggest gain in three months.

The rate of inflation over the past year also moved up to 3.4% from 3.1% in the prior month.

Producer Price Index

U.S. wholesale prices fell in December for the third month in a row, pointing to decelerating inflation in the months ahead.

The wholesale report might keep those hopes alive, especially since a weak PPI often portends a mild reading in the PCE index. That’s the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

• 15-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease by -0.02% with the current rate at 5.87%
• 30-Yr FRM rates saw an increase by 0.04% with the current rate at 6.66%

MND Rate Index

• 30-Yr FHA rates saw a -0.16% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.00%
• 30-Yr VA rates saw a -0.15% decrease for this week. Current rates at 6.01%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 202,000 compared to the expected claims of 210,000. The prior week was 202,000.

What’s Ahead

After the FOMC minutes for this week, next week should be a light release week with one major report being the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index which will show the inflation rates over December.