Navy Fellas Realty Group

Real Estate, Residential sales and purchase

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – October 7th, 2024

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Last week was a fairly light week, with the non-farm payroll data being the most significant release. The data showed that payrolls are growing at a faster rate than historical trends suggest, which could indicate that inflation is still above the Federal Reserve’s target. In contrast, the upcoming week has a busy schedule, with many important economic releases lined up back to back.

Non-Farm Payrolls

Hourly pay for American workers rose a sharp 0.4% in September – above expectations – to put the increase over the past 12 months at 4.0%. That’s up from 3.9% in the prior month. Wages are rising faster compared to the last few years before the pandemic. Wage gains rose just slightly over 3% on average in 2018 and 2019 before the coronavirus exploded.

If wages keep growing at a 4% rate, it could call into question the Fed’s view that labor costs will remain non-inflationary.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.09% with the current rate at 5.25%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of 0.04% with the current rate at 6.12%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates saw a 0.25% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.04%
  • 30-Yr VA rates saw a 0.26% increase for this week. Current rates at 6.06%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 225,000 compared to the expected claims of 220,000. The prior week landed at 219,000.

What’s Ahead

Next week will be a heavy week, starting with key inflation reports like the CPI and PPI. These will be followed by the FOMC Minutes, Consumer Credit data, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report.

20% Down Payment vs. Mortgage Insurance

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When it comes to buying a home, one of the biggest decisions is whether to save up for a 20% down payment or opt for mortgage insurance. While a 20% down payment has traditionally been the gold standard, mortgage insurance is becoming an increasingly viable option for many buyers. Here’s a closer look at both paths to help you determine which is right for you.

The 20% Down Payment: Stability and Long-Term Savings

A 20% down payment has long been viewed as a smart financial move, and for good reason. Here’s why it continues to be a popular option:

  • Instant Equity: By putting down 20%, you immediately build equity in your home and may qualify for lower interest rates, saving you money over the life of the loan.
  • No Mortgage Insurance: Avoiding private mortgage insurance (PMI) can keep your monthly payments lower, as PMI typically adds an extra fee to your mortgage payment.
  • Financial Security: A larger down payment often means more stable monthly payments, which can provide peace of mind for homeowners.

However, the main drawback is the large upfront cost. Saving up 20% of a home’s value can be challenging, particularly in today’s housing market.

Mortgage Insurance: Lower Upfront Costs, Greater Accessibility

Mortgage insurance offers an alternative for buyers who can’t afford a 20% down payment, helping more people achieve homeownership with as little as 3.5% down for an FHA loan or 5% for a conventional loan. Here’s why it appeals to many buyers:

  • Lower Upfront Barrier: Mortgage insurance allows you to buy a home with a much smaller down payment, making it easier to enter the market without waiting years to save 20%.
  • Broader Access to Loans: With mortgage insurance, more first-time buyers and families can afford a home, especially those with limited savings.
  • Temporary Expense: PMI can be removed once you’ve built enough equity in your home, either through paying down your mortgage or as your home appreciates in value.

However, the extra monthly cost of mortgage insurance can strain your budget, and it could take years before you’re able to drop PMI altogether.

Choosing the Right Path: Key Considerations

To decide between a 20% down payment and mortgage insurance, consider these factors:

  • Assess Your Financial Situation: Review your savings, credit score, and monthly budget to see how much you can comfortably afford for a down payment.
  • Explore Loan Options: Compare FHA, conventional, and VA loans, as each has different requirements and costs that could influence your decision.
  • Compare Costs: Use online calculators or talk to a mortgage advisor to see how the monthly costs of both options stack up based on your financial picture.
  • Think Long-Term: Consider how long you plan to stay in your home. If you expect to live there for many years, it might make sense to pay PMI now and remove it later as home values rise.

For many buyers, paying mortgage insurance and getting into a home sooner can be a smarter move. Home appreciation can outpace savings rates, meaning that buying now, even with PMI, could help you build equity faster than waiting to save for a 20% down payment.

How to Buy a Home After Bankruptcy

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Filing for bankruptcy can make your dream of homeownership feel distant, but it doesn’t have to be the end of the journey. While there are challenges, understanding how bankruptcy impacts your finances and planning strategically can set you on the right path. Here’s a step-by-step guide to buying a home after bankruptcy.

The Long-Term Impact of Bankruptcy

Bankruptcy creates immediate financial relief but also leaves a lasting mark on your credit report. This can affect your ability to qualify for a mortgage, but it’s important to remember that bankruptcy doesn’t close the door to homeownership forever.

The Role of Credit Scores

One of the biggest hurdles after bankruptcy is the impact on your credit score. Your score plays a central role in mortgage approval. After bankruptcy, it’s crucial to focus on rebuilding your credit. Responsible management of your debts—paying bills on time, keeping credit card balances low, and avoiding new credit applications—can help improve your credit score over time.

The Waiting Period

Most mortgage lenders require a waiting period after bankruptcy before you can apply for a mortgage. The waiting period varies depending on the type of bankruptcy filed and the loan program you’re pursuing:

  • Chapter 7 bankruptcy: You’ll need to wait at least 2 years before applying for an FHA or VA loan, and up to 4 years for conventional loans.
  • Chapter 13 bankruptcy: The waiting period may be as short as 1 year after filing if you’ve made on-time payments under your repayment plan, but 2 years after discharge is generally the norm for FHA and VA loans.

Exploring Government-Backed Loans

Government-backed loans like FHA and VA loans are often more forgiving for individuals with a bankruptcy on their record. These loans offer the chance to become a homeowner with lower credit score requirements and down payments, although you may face slightly higher interest rates compared to other loan options.

Interest Rates After Bankruptcy

While bankruptcy can lead to higher interest rates initially, you’re not stuck with those rates forever. By improving your credit score and demonstrating financial responsibility post-bankruptcy, you can negotiate better terms or refinance your mortgage later to secure a lower rate.

Financial Counseling and Expert Advice

Seeking professional advice from mortgage consultants and financial advisors can be a game-changer in your journey to homeownership. They can help you navigate loan options, improve your financial standing, and guide you through the mortgage process after bankruptcy.

Rebuilding and Moving Forward

Bankruptcy may feel like a setback, but it doesn’t define your future. By focusing on rebuilding your credit, understanding your loan options, and following a structured financial plan, you can achieve your goal of homeownership despite past financial challenges.

Buying a home after bankruptcy requires patience, planning, and financial discipline. With the right approach, you can move past the setbacks of bankruptcy and make homeownership a reality.

Why the Cost of Title Insurance is Worth the Investment

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When buying a home, there are many expenses to think about, title insurance might seem like just another one on the list. Conversely, this investment is important and can save you a lot of stress and money in the long run. Here’s why the cost of title insurance is well worth it.

Protecting Your Ownership Rights

Title insurance protects you against claims from others who might say they have rights to your property. For instance, if a previous owner failed to pay property taxes or there are undisclosed heirs, you could face legal battles without title insurance. This coverage ensures that your ownership is secure.

Coverage for Past Errors

The history of a property can be complex. Mistakes like clerical errors or overlooked liens can occur during the transfer of ownership. Title insurance covers these errors, providing you with peace of mind that your home is free of any hidden issues.

One-Time Cost for Long-Term Protection

Unlike other types of insurance that require monthly or yearly payments, title insurance is a one-time fee. Once you pay it, you’re covered for as long as you own the home. This makes it an affordable and practical option for long-term security.

Avoiding Legal Fees

If a claim does arise, legal fees can add up quickly. With title insurance, these costs are covered. This means you won’t have to worry about out-of-pocket expenses if someone challenges your right to the property.

Confidence in Your Investment

Buying a home is one of the biggest financial decisions you’ll make. Title insurance offers the confidence that your investment is protected, giving you peace of mind as a homeowner.

While title insurance may seem like an added cost, its ability to protect you from potential legal and financial headaches makes it a smart and valuable investment.

How to Find Out If Your Dream Neighborhood Is In a Buyer’s Market?

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When you’re searching for a home, knowing the state of the local market is essential. Whether it’s a buyer’s or seller’s market can influence everything from price negotiations to how quickly homes sell. So, how can you tell if your dream neighborhood is favoring buyers? Here are some useful tips to help you gauge the market:

1. Check Housing Inventory

  • High Inventory: A large number of homes for sale often indicates a buyer’s market. With more choices, sellers may be more open to negotiations.
  • Low Inventory: Fewer available homes suggest a seller’s market, where demand is high and buyers face stiffer competition.

2. Analyze Days on Market (DOM)

  • Homes staying on the market for extended periods typically point to a buyer’s market, as sellers may become more willing to negotiate the longer the property remains unsold.

3. Track Price Trends

  • If homes in your area are seeing price reductions or flat pricing, it could be a sign that buyers have more negotiating power. Pay attention to recent sales to identify trends.

4. Review Local Economic Conditions

  • Job growth, interest rates, and new developments can influence local housing supply and demand. A healthy economy with plenty of job opportunities may drive up demand, tipping the market toward sellers.

5. Look at Comparable Sales

  • Comparing recently sold homes similar to what you’re looking for can give you insights into the current market dynamics. If similar homes are selling below the asking price, it’s a sign of a buyer’s market.

6. Seek Expert Advice

  • A local real estate agent can offer valuable insights based on data you may not have access to, such as market reports and pricing trends specific to your neighborhood.

7. Understand Buyer Sentiment

  • Tune into local real estate forums, social media groups, or community boards to see how other buyers feel. Is there excitement or hesitation about the market? This can give you clues about market conditions.

By evaluating these factors, you can better understand whether it’s the right time to buy in your desired neighborhood. Timing is important, but do not forget to consider your financial situation and long-term goals when making your decision.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – September 30th, 2024

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With the release of the PCE Index data, we are seeing the trend hold as inflation continues to slow down. This gives the Federal Reserve room to continue its rate cuts in the future. Following the positive news for inflation data, the GDP has also seen a larger-than-expected growth of 3% this quarter. The only data running against the tide is the Consumer Confidence reports, which reported to show that consumers are at their most anxious since 2021. We should expect a greater impact on the lending and broader markets ahead of the elections.

PCE Index

The Federal Reserve’s preferred PCE index inched up just 0.1% last month, the government said Friday. This matched the forecast of economists polled by The Wall Street Journal. The increase in inflation in the past 12 months slipped 2.2% from 2.5%, marking the lowest level since early 2021. The Federal Reserve is aiming to bring inflation down to 2% a year.

GDP Estimates (second)

The last of three updates on U.S. growth in the second quarter showed the economy expanded at a solid 3.0% annual pace — and there’s no sign it has taken a big turn for the worse. Gross domestic product, the official scorecard of the economy, was unchanged from the prior 3.0% estimate, the government said Thursday.

Consumer Confidence

Consumer confidence fell in September to a three-month low ahead of a pivotal U.S. election whose outcome could hinge on which presidential candidate voters think will do a better job on the economy. Americans were more worried about the job market in light of a steady rise in unemployment and greater difficulty in finding work. Another source of distress was the high cost of living after several years of severe inflation.

Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index

  • 15-Yr FRM rates saw an increase of 0.01% with the current rate at 5.16%
  • 30-Yr FRM rates saw a decrease of -0.01% with the current rate at 6.08%

MND Rate Index

  • 30-Yr FHA rates saw a 0.09% increase for this week. Current rates at 5.79%
  • 30-Yr VA rates saw a 0.08% increase for this week. Current rates at 5.80%

Jobless Claims

Initial Claims were reported to be 218,000 compared to the expected claims of 223,000. The prior week landed at 222,000.

What’s Ahead

Up next are the non-farm payrolls, a key indicator of the economy that shows whether wages are keeping up with inflation. Additionally, there will be production estimates from the Manufacturing Index and the usual job data releases.